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0x67959fa6b47097c4174678f02db61cb5ddefc55d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $347.5k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$252.35at 0.510Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
- +$205.00at 0.590Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$168.00at 0.160Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$156.20at 0.837Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$154.31at 0.510Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 09:07 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $44.00 |
| 07-19 20:30 | Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $306.51 |
| 07-19 19:00 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $82.65 |
| 07-18 16:16 | LoL: SDM Tigres vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.83 | $83.00 |
| 07-15 18:36 | Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 07-15 18:33 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $294.90 |
| 07-15 18:24 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.85 | $595.00 |
| 12-09 00:45 | Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.36 | $50.40 |
| 12-08 22:36 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.59 | $193.36 |
| 12-08 22:28 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $262.65 |
| 12-01 14:42 | Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | SELL | 0.957 | $65.29 |
| 11-18 16:21 | Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31? | SELL | 0.480268 | $192.11 |
| 11-18 16:20 | Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31? | SELL | 0.54 | $119.63 |
| 11-18 14:24 | Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $350.00 |
| 11-18 01:22 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | SELL | 0.838 | $83.79 |