ajtor
0x67c77446bb491a3bf3405d202232cb79bcb3c392
- Realised P&L
- $102.33
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $345.89
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.530 | $140.72 | +$37.80 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.655 | $105.60 | +$4.08 |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? · Yes | 0.619 | 0.744 | $93.60 | +$15.67 |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.003 | $4.17 | −$0.83 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.565 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.80at 0.734Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$0.01at 0.950Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 05:05 | Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0029999994 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 20:46 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 17:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7329999942 | $75.37 |
| 07-27 17:39 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | BUY | 0.6189999968 | $60.00 |
| 07-27 17:33 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | BUY | 0.6189999935 | $17.93 |
| 07-21 00:24 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3879999991 | $102.92 |
| 07-16 22:03 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6099999117 | $1.52 |
| 07-16 22:02 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 21:59 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $1.01 |
| 07-16 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |