PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ajtor

0x67c77446bb491a3bf3405d202232cb79bcb3c392

Realised P&L
$102.33
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$345.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3880.530$140.72+$37.80
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6300.655$105.60+$4.08
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? · Yes0.6190.744$93.60+$15.67
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0030.003$4.17$0.83
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4500.445$0.99$0.01
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · Yes0.7000.565$0.81$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 05:05Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0029999994$5.00
07-29 20:46Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6299999982$100.00
07-27 17:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7329999942$75.37
07-27 17:39Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?BUY0.6189999968$60.00
07-27 17:33Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?BUY0.6189999935$17.93
07-21 00:24Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3879999991$102.92
07-16 22:03Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6099999117$1.52
07-16 22:02Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.7$1.00
07-16 21:592026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4499997975$1.00
07-16 21:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETSELL0.96$1.01
07-16 21:58Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.95$1.00