0x688B15F0B28ED993dba8EE14F3485ddbB55349F5-1774551591274
0x688b15f0b28ed993dba8ee14f3485ddbb55349f5
- Realised P&L
- $192.99
- Volume
- $103.1k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $189.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.14at 0.006Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$13.33at 0.013Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
- +$12.62at 0.170Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$10.54at 0.018Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
- +$10.24at 0.436US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:59 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 22:52 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 08-02 16:21 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 20:12 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 07-31 18:34 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.16 |
| 07-31 18:15 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 04:02 | Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 07-30 19:24 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 07-30 02:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 00:52 | Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 00:51 | Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 03:00 | Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 07-29 02:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.65 |
| 07-29 02:12 | Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.09 |
| 07-29 02:08 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.50 |