Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-28

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.025. up 0.013 over the period, from 0.012. Range 0.012 to 0.027. 157 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.030	20	20
0.034	16	36
0.035	81	117
0.036	5	122
0.040	170	292
0.041	400	692
0.050	150	842
0.055	10	852
0.056	130	982
0.057	100	1,082
0.059	100	1,182
0.061	69	1,251

Spread0.010Mid0.025

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.020	75	75
0.018	155	230
0.017	320	550
0.016	77	627
0.012	698	1,325
0.011	2,090	3,415
0.010	3,331	6,746
0.009	5,388	12,134
0.008	10,133	22,268
0.007	1,723	23,991
0.006	12,313	36,304
0.005	120,098	156,402

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.980	75	75
0.982	155	230
0.983	320	550
0.984	77	627
0.988	698	1,325
0.989	2,090	3,415
0.990	3,331	6,746
0.991	5,388	12,134
0.992	10,133	22,268
0.993	1,723	23,991
0.994	12,313	36,304
0.995	120,098	156,402

Spread0.010Mid0.975

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.970	20	20
0.966	16	36
0.965	81	117
0.964	5	122
0.960	170	292
0.959	400	692
0.950	150	842
0.945	10	852
0.944	130	982
0.943	100	1,082
0.941	100	1,182
0.939	69	1,251

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
BA2027	Yes	3,441.86
HolyMoses7	Yes	2,400
0x0502ea4a215Ae0B16CF05a62De9558e350DFBD26-1782744480906	Yes	2,017.78
tradingdecs	Yes	2,000
MohammedWang	Yes	1,903.26
pbshine	Yes	1,747.16
liq2	Yes	1,368.5
Cashmeowio	Yes	1,347.7
Kutoba	Yes	1,046.57
MrMarke	Yes	775.44
Telluride	Yes	652.01
0x9725F242d728723eED0C76639aF39D013D8646d0-1775475036449	Yes	625
rwcoffee	Yes	617.18
3awerpoghaoe	Yes	571.64
iosuromero	Yes	464.06
duref	Yes	450
0x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-1761723227494	Yes	400
0x688B15F0B28ED993dba8EE14F3485ddbB55349F5-1774551591274	Yes	380.58
golfs2005	Yes	351.43
wozaitaibei	Yes	330

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:19:08	BUY	Yes	0.0191100495	1,047	$20.00
03:30:35	BUY	Yes	0.0139999861	71	$1.00
18:11:53	BUY	Yes	0.0139999861	71	$1.00
17:54:35	SELL	Yes	0.013	328	$4.26
17:48:47	BUY	Yes	0.014	420	$5.88
14:50:51	SELL	Yes	0.013	200	$2.60
13:50:02	BUY	No	0.987	61	$60.19
13:50:00	BUY	No	0.987	50	$49.35
13:49:59	BUY	No	0.9868691803	157	$154.95
13:49:56	BUY	No	0.986	59	$58.59
13:49:54	BUY	No	0.986	100	$98.60
13:49:54	BUY	No	0.9854007896	100	$98.67
13:49:54	BUY	No	0.985	40	$39.40
06:57:54	BUY	Yes	0.0162028196	617	$10.00
22:36:08	BUY	No	0.987999996	1	$1.00
22:36:03	BUY	No	0.9879999999	40	$39.51
17:49:02	BUY	Yes	0.013	19	$0.25
17:24:18	BUY	No	0.9879999996	10	$9.87
16:20:05	BUY	No	0.9862324638	69	$68.05
16:19:54	BUY	No	0.986	10	$9.86
16:09:08	SELL	Yes	0.014	46	$0.64
14:17:17	BUY	No	0.986	10	$9.86
08:50:36	SELL	Yes	0.014	72	$1.01
07:05:27	BUY	No	0.9859999882	1	$1.00
04:37:26	SELL	Yes	0.013	308	$4.00