PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x69b3b4D53b702D75C6827a1d7a33663B5eB214F8-1770892424500

0x69b3b4d53b702d75c6827a1d7a33663b5eb214f8

Realised P&L
$793.31
Volume
$108.3k
Markets traded
543
Open portfolio
$634.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded543
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · Yes0.4980.435$179.62$25.88
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · No0.7050.870$147.03+$27.87
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · No0.6700.690$145.15+$4.08
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.9450.986$108.35+$4.46
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? · No0.1260.145$36.28+$4.69
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 2, 2026? · No0.1300.535$10.70+$8.10
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026? · No0.1220.135$5.37+$0.50
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 3, 2026? · No0.1180.065$1.66$1.36
Will Trump say "Russia" during cabinet meeting? · Yes0.7470.000$0.00$221.86
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 31, 2026? · No0.1040.000$0.00$9.11
Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$6.70
Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting? · Yes0.3950.000$0.00$170.25
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29? · No0.7600.000$0.00$150.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 27? · No0.7100.000$0.00$60.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 30? · No0.5490.000$0.00$150.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:00Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 3, 2026?BUY0.11$1.69
08-02 18:52Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.68$13.67
08-02 18:46Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.68$13.67
08-02 18:38Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.68$13.67
08-02 18:31Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?BUY0.68$13.67
08-02 15:05Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?BUY0.13$2.60
08-02 14:56Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?BUY0.13$2.61
08-02 14:49Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?BUY0.13$2.61
08-02 14:42Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?BUY0.13$2.61
08-02 14:40Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?BUY0.13$3.90
08-02 14:40Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026?BUY0.12$3.55
08-02 14:34Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?BUY0.13$2.61
08-02 11:50Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?BUY0.118251503$9.44
08-02 11:49Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026?BUY0.13$5.20
08-02 08:51Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.94$47.00