0x69b3b4D53b702D75C6827a1d7a33663B5eB214F8-1770892424500
0x69b3b4d53b702d75c6827a1d7a33663b5eb214f8
- Realised P&L
- $793.31
- Volume
- $108.3k
- Markets traded
- 543
- Open portfolio
- $634.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded543
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.066Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$368.45at 0.478Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
- +$213.05at 0.697Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$210.00at 0.400Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?
- +$142.04at 0.699Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:00 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.69 |
| 08-02 18:52 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.67 |
| 08-02 18:46 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.67 |
| 08-02 18:38 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.67 |
| 08-02 18:31 | Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.67 |
| 08-02 15:05 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 08-02 14:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.61 |
| 08-02 14:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.61 |
| 08-02 14:42 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.61 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.55 |
| 08-02 14:34 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.61 |
| 08-02 11:50 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.118251503 | $9.44 |
| 08-02 11:49 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 08-02 08:51 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |