PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Dropper

0x6bab41a0dc40d6dd4c1a915b8c01969479fd1292

Realised P&L
$1.45M
Volume
$51.42M
Markets traded
1,687
Open portfolio
$216.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,687
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7590.795$61.0k+$2.7k
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · No0.7361.000$48.0k+$12.7k
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9130.965$42.9k+$2.3k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$23.8k+$8.8k
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6380.786$19.8k+$3.7k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$6.2k$8.8k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4380.655$6.1k+$2.0k
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8250.923$3.5k+$374.63
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2400.205$3.2k$550.37
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.7800.967$2.2k+$425.29
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2800.095$21.09$41.07
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.3260.001$13.02$8.5k
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.7000.001$10.60$14.8k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1000.041$7.62$11.19
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? · Yes0.7010.001$7.48$10.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.78$40.5k
08-02 02:09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.77$470.01
08-01 17:02Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.363467537$5.3k
08-01 13:54Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3055332182$1.2k
08-01 13:31Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7$0.81
07-31 19:31U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.98997642$25.1k
07-31 19:26U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.5274792632$3.7k
07-31 19:19U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.42611975$4.3k
07-31 19:18U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.3978186947$2.2k
07-31 17:58U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.6579294004$2.6k
07-31 16:08U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.6085637119$1.9k
07-30 21:31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.24$3.8k
07-30 21:10Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6999761853$14.8k
07-30 14:35U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.8216071178$3.5k
07-28 13:03Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.42$4.32