0x7436e5f3352DcA8b917Ef1986E4b63bd560be7D3-1782457750446
0x7436e5f3352dca8b917ef1986e4b63bd560be7d3
- Realised P&L
- $-299.95
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $89.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.011 | $60.97 | −$164.72 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.009 | $26.09 | −$46.29 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.014 | $2.85 | −$6.58 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.36 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 06:03 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0388048871 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 04:50 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.036542678 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 13:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.027152668 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 08:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0439999979 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 00:32 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0268404638 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 00:30 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.043775822 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 00:29 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0416373733 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 13:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.039 | $3.38 |
| 07-04 13:48 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $21.00 |
| 07-04 13:48 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.20 |
| 07-04 13:47 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.039 | $50.70 |
| 07-04 13:46 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.63 |
| 07-01 10:50 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.052 | $2.34 |
| 06-30 21:21 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0467464885 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 21:16 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0460217593 | $20.00 |