PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

UnderwriterGCR

0x771d7c5ac82ca8776738e2560f6a6e50d34b440e

Realised P&L
$18.3k
Volume
$1.13M
Markets traded
417
Open portfolio
$64.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded417
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9260.975$22.7k+$1.1k
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9680.973$7.8k+$40.38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9470.955$5.7k+$43.64
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7920.925$4.2k+$597.51
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9160.933$3.5k+$66.09
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8860.960$3.4k+$255.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9070.935$2.8k+$85.01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.9961.000$2.5k+$8.75
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8860.960$1.9k+$147.51
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8320.815$1.6k$33.67
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · No0.9640.973$1.5k+$13.44
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7890.974$1.2k+$222.26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9720.981$981.00+$9.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.905$905.00+$15.00
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8820.971$899.16+$82.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:40Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.973$290.75
08-02 21:40Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.973$2.9k
07-27 20:20Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.86$860.00
07-27 20:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.94$27.44
07-27 20:159.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.9307620721$92.71
07-27 20:00Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.954$1.4k
07-27 19:58Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.996$2.5k
07-27 19:53Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$415.00
07-27 19:529.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.9281030615$61.24
07-27 19:51Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.974992$2.4k
07-27 19:49Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9669363653$3.3k
07-25 22:30Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.96$901.44
07-25 09:32Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.89$890.00
07-24 22:179.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.912$912.00
07-24 22:16Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$455.00