groppone
0x77500a1651826ef61b2dde9d666851f13179324d
- Realised P&L
- $876.20
- Volume
- $254.0k
- Markets traded
- 298
- Open portfolio
- $294.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded298
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.47at 0.010Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
- +$90.00at 0.010Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$60.24at 0.189Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
- +$50.60at 0.060Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$48.79at 0.016Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 19:11 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 19:07 | Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.01 |
| 07-20 16:01 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 07-20 15:55 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.50 |
| 07-16 13:45 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 07-07 15:56 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 07-07 07:05 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.79 | $39.50 |
| 07-03 12:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.079 | $31.60 |
| 07-03 12:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 07-02 06:51 | Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | SELL | 0.018 | $1.71 |
| 06-30 05:49 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.277 | $13.85 |
| 06-29 08:57 | US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 15:11 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0168549985 | $16.85 |
| 06-15 10:17 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | SELL | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 06-14 14:59 | Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |