0x78e7a8a4Dfa99aF9A18b9DEF96672feB83Db2C77-1779178529250
0x78e7a8a4dfa99af9a18b9def96672feb83db2c77
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.082Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.8kat 0.110Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?
- +$1.4kat 0.273US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
- +$1.1kat 0.213US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$572.83at 0.040US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:31 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0175045449 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 07:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 07:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.048 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 07:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 08:06 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.041931361 | $300.00 |
| 07-20 08:06 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0181289659 | $332.00 |
| 07-20 08:06 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0627432699 | $200.00 |
| 07-11 14:11 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0319941474 | $82.00 |
| 07-11 08:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1398880084 | $300.00 |
| 07-11 08:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0408723231 | $95.00 |
| 07-11 08:25 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0059999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 08:24 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999929 | $15.00 |
| 07-11 08:24 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0197467839 | $200.00 |
| 07-11 08:24 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $200.00 |
| 07-11 08:24 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |