PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

HongKongMenace

0x791976e861822c1f6d13f719d2c80e8deb9b72b2

Realised P&L
$72.2k
Volume
$2.09M
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$93.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? · No0.9600.982$29.2k+$639.94
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9650.957$17.2k$139.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No0.9790.976$14.3k$56.20
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? · Yes0.9570.982$13.5k+$339.57
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.9220.465$9.7k$9.5k
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.6480.635$7.4k$155.71
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.7800.948$1.0k+$183.33
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0280.034$334.46+$61.21
Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes0.7630.984$303.71+$67.91
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7430.505$294.70$139.04
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1940.165$105.18$18.31
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.5760.001$0.58$672.92
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files? · No0.9770.000$0.00$306.73
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00$2.8k
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.9850.000$0.00$15.3k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 14:31US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.9224464704$19.2k
07-31 23:02Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.6484544881$7.5k
07-31 22:59Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.61$3.05
07-31 19:34U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?SELL0.9931467855$21.6k
07-31 19:25U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.5243966235$2.3k
07-31 19:25U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.5235245669$3.1k
07-31 19:24U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.4890498653$1.6k
07-31 19:23U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.4959505254$844.85
07-31 19:23U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.4986141998$3.1k
07-30 18:30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9643366523$7.2k
07-30 18:28US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.9790042606$9.4k
07-23 18:18Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.961$28.83
07-23 18:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.75692384$5.3k
07-23 17:50Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9632778975$7.7k
07-23 17:48Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9603259977$2.6k