HongKongMenace
0x791976e861822c1f6d13f719d2c80e8deb9b72b2
- Realised P&L
- $72.2k
- Volume
- $2.09M
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $93.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.0kat 0.870Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$16.1kat 0.867Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
- +$10.5kat 0.509U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$8.5kat 0.836Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$7.2kat 0.882Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 14:31 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.9224464704 | $19.2k |
| 07-31 23:02 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.6484544881 | $7.5k |
| 07-31 22:59 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 07-31 19:34 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.9931467855 | $21.6k |
| 07-31 19:25 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.5243966235 | $2.3k |
| 07-31 19:25 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.5235245669 | $3.1k |
| 07-31 19:24 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.4890498653 | $1.6k |
| 07-31 19:23 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.4959505254 | $844.85 |
| 07-31 19:23 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.4986141998 | $3.1k |
| 07-30 18:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9643366523 | $7.2k |
| 07-30 18:28 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9790042606 | $9.4k |
| 07-23 18:18 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.961 | $28.83 |
| 07-23 18:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.75692384 | $5.3k |
| 07-23 17:50 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9632778975 | $7.7k |
| 07-23 17:48 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9603259977 | $2.6k |