Yellowom
0x794deb71c3a8e8d4063a1959dbb7eac453a88c8b
- Realised P&L
- $-115.32
- Volume
- $24.4k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $368.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.19at 0.748Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
- +$39.90at 0.050US bank failure by January 31?
- +$39.52at 0.240Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?
- +$14.33at 0.390Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$12.60at 0.380US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 08:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $63.42 |
| 06-26 08:30 | Netanyahu out by July 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.70 |
| 06-26 08:30 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.986 | $26.62 |
| 06-08 14:18 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $54.11 |
| 06-08 14:18 | Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.957 | $13.40 |
| 06-08 14:17 | Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.25 |
| 06-08 14:15 | Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.94 |
| 06-08 14:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.89 | $25.51 |
| 05-24 12:54 | Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $17.36 |
| 05-24 12:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.18 |
| 05-24 12:51 | Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.58 |
| 05-24 12:49 | Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election? | BUY | 0.954 | $15.26 |
| 04-13 17:05 | Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? | BUY | 0.559 | $10.92 |
| 04-13 17:01 | Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $24.90 |
| 04-13 17:00 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $46.30 |