PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Yellowom

0x794deb71c3a8e8d4063a1959dbb7eac453a88c8b

Realised P&L
$-115.32
Volume
$24.4k
Markets traded
167
Open portfolio
$368.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded167
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.9911.000$64.00+$0.58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · No0.9911.000$54.60+$0.49
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1500.065$34.45$45.05
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9600.975$29.23+$0.43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · No0.9861.000$27.00+$0.38
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.915$25.62+$0.14
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? · No0.9921.000$24.00+$0.19
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8400.935$23.38+$2.39
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2500.185$18.50$6.50
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · No0.8900.935$18.23+$0.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.755$18.12$0.60
OpenAI acquired before 2027? · No0.9670.960$14.88$0.12
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.8700.325$13.00$21.80
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.7300.175$2.63$8.32
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.025$0.39$2.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 08:33Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?BUY0.991$63.42
06-26 08:30Netanyahu out by July 31?BUY0.025$1.70
06-26 08:30Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.986$26.62
06-08 14:18Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.991$54.11
06-08 14:18Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?BUY0.957$13.40
06-08 14:17Anthropic vs Meta — higher valuation on June 30?BUY0.05$1.25
06-08 14:15Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?BUY0.998$23.94
06-08 14:15Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.89$25.51
05-24 12:54Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?BUY0.89$17.36
05-24 12:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.39$11.18
05-24 12:51Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?BUY0.008$2.58
05-24 12:49Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?BUY0.954$15.26
04-13 17:05Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? BUY0.559$10.92
04-13 17:01Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?BUY0.996$24.90
04-13 17:00Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.985$46.30