PERP-RFQ
0x7a1be02fe22af87c1ccc1a94ae7653404571e8d0
- Realised P&L
- $-97.96
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $77.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.640 | $12.80 | +$3.80 |
| Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? · No | 0.540 | 0.445 | $8.90 | −$1.90 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · No | 0.510 | 0.385 | $7.69 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.35at 0.385Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
- +$61.73at 0.597Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
- +$23.84at 0.650Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5
- +$19.37at 0.650Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 9?
- +$15.86at 0.236Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 15:01 | Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? | SELL | 0.139373088 | $77.63 |
| 07-12 22:11 | Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? | BUY | 0.3681668805 | $47.04 |
| 07-12 21:58 | Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? | BUY | 0.3730000029 | $48.26 |
| 07-12 20:45 | Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? | BUY | 0.4690371088 | $141.00 |
| 07-12 02:47 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5974999933 | $30.50 |
| 07-12 02:31 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4380530895 | $22.50 |
| 07-12 02:23 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.757499998 | $38.50 |
| 07-11 22:17 | Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6499999961 | $33.00 |
| 07-11 22:17 | Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6489877641 | $11.22 |
| 07-11 21:38 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3899999835 | $7.32 |
| 07-11 21:38 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.389999984 | $12.20 |
| 07-11 21:38 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3799999914 | $19.50 |
| 07-09 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10? | SELL | 0.37 | $6.75 |
| 07-09 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 10? | SELL | 0.5828528738 | $109.42 |
| 07-09 13:29 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10? | SELL | 0.5996851879 | $244.78 |