PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PERP-RFQ

0x7a1be02fe22af87c1ccc1a94ae7653404571e8d0

Realised P&L
$-97.96
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$77.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes0.4500.640$12.80+$3.80
Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? · No0.5400.445$8.90$1.90
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? · No0.5100.385$7.69$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 15:01Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?SELL0.139373088$77.63
07-12 22:11Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?BUY0.3681668805$47.04
07-12 21:58Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?BUY0.3730000029$48.26
07-12 20:45Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?BUY0.4690371088$141.00
07-12 02:47Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5BUY0.5974999933$30.50
07-12 02:31Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5BUY0.4380530895$22.50
07-12 02:23Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5BUY0.757499998$38.50
07-11 22:17Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5BUY0.6499999961$33.00
07-11 22:17Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5BUY0.6489877641$11.22
07-11 21:38Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.3899999835$7.32
07-11 21:38Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.389999984$12.20
07-11 21:38Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.3799999914$19.50
07-09 13:29Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?SELL0.37$6.75
07-09 13:29Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 10?SELL0.5828528738$109.42
07-09 13:29Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?SELL0.5996851879$244.78