PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Resolves by
https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards
40 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.61. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.47 to 0.64. 100 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.639696
0.64805901
0.9379980
0.94581,038
0.968001,838
0.99551,893

Spread0.03Mid0.61

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.601,1311,131
0.593531,484
0.53211,505
0.52171,522
0.51501,572
0.49201,592
0.47201,612
0.048002,412
0.032,6675,079
0.01555,134

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.401,1311,131
0.413531,484
0.47211,505
0.48171,522
0.49501,572
0.51201,592
0.53201,612
0.968002,412
0.972,6675,079
0.99555,134

Spread0.03Mid0.39

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.379696
0.36805901
0.0779980
0.06581,038
0.048001,838
0.01551,893

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
R79dgahrYes3,313.78
DragontreeYes50.14
eggsandoYes30
0xB2CA95DDcb43Adaeb2BF7e6e7D1Dfce7e522CF4D-1782111440106Yes15.86
0x5cA7E46f9377E2101aaB6888cbFC4708C787e3e8-1769500946991Yes9.57
0xa5cb…6cb5Yes5.62
TooYoungToWinYes5
imp5Yes1
Tenebrus7No1,101.16
cqkNo612.3
acc42020No511.79
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo500
NoTeacherNo300
AJSVNo96.94
koaoNo50
Mithrandir.No40
pootytherewardfarmerNo24
0x807FEaf02c3EB1652b72638f02338CE3086BF420-1769414378124No20.47
0x4629…f3b1No20
SlackjawNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:56:59SELLNo0.3713$4.81
18:02:47BUYNo0.385$1.90
06:37:09BUYYes0.6116$9.55
06:28:48SELLNo0.375$1.69
06:27:41BUYNo0.379999975511$4.04
06:16:11BUYYes0.6113$7.93
04:09:02SELLNo0.377$2.43
04:07:09BUYNo0.45$1.92
04:07:08BUYNo0.388663237612$237.98
04:00:23SELLNo0.3360375444197$66.23
04:00:20SELLNo0.3403024042494$168.01
04:00:20SELLNo0.3433908851964$331.15
04:00:18SELLNo0.3620$7.20
04:00:15SELLNo0.3619$6.92
04:00:15SELLNo0.36308141989$359.16
03:15:54SELLNo0.3750$18.50
02:21:24SELLYes0.6119$11.60
16:55:08SELLNo0.38128$48.72
15:04:17SELLNo0.386$2.44
15:01:33BUYNo0.3899999959128$50.00
14:43:35SELLYes0.6120$12.20
14:19:27SELLYes0.6160$36.60
14:18:24SELLYes0.61300$182.99
14:17:45BUYYes0.6213$8.16
14:17:42BUYNo0.3899999971197$76.87