PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

henos

0x7a86b972c76f703814eedd4ccbe1fe186d35f8e8

Realised P&L
$749.02
Volume
$502.3k
Markets traded
312
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded312
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? · Yes0.8141.000$129.92+$24.13
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · No0.3790.380$124.68+$0.35
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1840.210$117.01+$14.28
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31? · No0.2540.465$103.63+$46.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? · Yes0.2370.435$90.18+$40.99
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.6200.710$71.00+$9.00
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3230.261$52.23$12.41
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1780.190$48.45+$2.95
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · No0.1720.345$41.20+$20.69
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.0670.075$32.36+$3.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? · Yes0.0550.145$29.71+$18.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August? · Yes0.0200.015$27.43$7.50
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.017$20.95+$8.67
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? · Yes0.1140.115$19.86+$0.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? · Yes0.4500.760$19.00+$7.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 07:45Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?SELL0.296$1.08
08-02 03:25Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?BUY0.015$1.50
08-01 15:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?SELL0.91022245$182.04
08-01 10:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.8$160.80
08-01 10:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.001$10.00
08-01 07:13Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$31.50
08-01 06:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.78$46.48
08-01 06:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.79$282.48
08-01 06:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?SELL0.94$188.00
07-31 12:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.903108089$484.44
07-31 12:58Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.933$142.75
07-31 12:48Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.74$74.00
07-31 12:41Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.966$193.76
07-31 12:29Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.93$237.65
07-31 11:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.1442975207$34.92