PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xphilo

0x7be65adde3857af7d9de2aa5a976bf893fd826a6

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$12.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-27.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9320.960$1.4k+$40.38
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.7700.595$1.2k$350.00
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.5300.425$935.00$231.00
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5940.505$353.50$62.50
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9500.988$29.63+$1.13
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.3470.336$16.80$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 18:59Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.934$560.39
05-19 18:58China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.81$243.00
05-19 18:58China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.81$162.00
05-19 18:48Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9339999998$690.00
05-19 18:44Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.7612004989$5.00
05-19 18:43Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSELL0.34$19.44
05-19 18:42Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.1699999759$5.00
05-19 18:42Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.1799999755$5.00
05-04 18:13StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.39$3.90
05-04 18:13StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.76$549.22
04-23 12:03Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.933$23.60
04-01 17:15StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.3901188741$200.00
01-24 13:24AFC U23 Final: China vs. JapanBUY0.75$82.61
01-24 13:18AFC U23 Final: China vs. JapanBUY0.7504445887$200.00
11-08 13:59Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?BUY0.7799998544$3.00