Imo7o
0x7c6ad2c1e9a6a86c663cb95cc328330576f20b8c
- Realised P&L
- $17.1k
- Volume
- $1.72M
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $23.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.675 | $7.4k | +$2.4k |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.802 | 0.465 | $5.8k | −$4.2k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.492 | 0.585 | $5.8k | +$914.76 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? · No | 0.906 | 0.989 | $4.5k | +$377.96 |
| Trump calls Nicki Minaj hot again in 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.785 | $37.79 | +$1.20 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes | 0.682 | 1.000 | $3.46 | +$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.7kat 0.641US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
- +$21.6kat 0.136Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$12.4kat 0.588Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$5.7kat 0.842US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$4.3kat 0.714Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 22:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.4603949736 | $5.0k |
| 07-31 15:28 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.8890248478 | $5.7k |
| 07-29 12:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.6926418981 | $3.3k |
| 07-29 12:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.8888855495 | $3.3k |
| 07-29 10:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.8080836066 | $9.6k |
| 07-27 00:36 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.3785400936 | $60.00 |
| 07-26 22:11 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.1357082273 | $50.00 |
| 07-25 13:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.8639450729 | $5.0k |
| 07-24 20:27 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | BUY | 0.9265350975 | $3.0k |
| 07-24 20:19 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $13.5k |
| 07-24 17:09 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.55 | $22.00 |
| 07-24 08:48 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.5872045334 | $1000.00 |
| 07-24 06:38 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.9199348275 | $231.49 |
| 07-24 06:38 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.8978615704 | $981.00 |
| 07-23 19:41 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.8279524728 | $100.00 |