trashtier
0x7df61ca342c9b53ba9b4c60745718ed48a77ac3b
- Realised P&L
- $29.5k
- Volume
- $5.85M
- Markets traded
- 4,924
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,924
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.230Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournament
- +$1.4kat 0.739Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$1.4kat 0.085Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.3kat 0.752Will FalleN retire by June 1?
- +$1.2kat 0.317Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:50 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.30 |
| 08-03 03:54 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.399 | $3.59 |
| 08-03 01:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.35 |
| 08-03 01:20 | Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.16 |
| 08-02 16:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $70.00 |
| 08-01 17:15 | Will Spirit Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | BUY | 0.76 | $19.99 |
| 08-01 17:13 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | SELL | 0.949 | $102.66 |
| 08-01 17:09 | Will MOUZ Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | BUY | 0.784 | $13.11 |
| 08-01 17:06 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | SELL | 0.98 | $588.00 |
| 08-01 16:56 | Will Astralis Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $53.72 |
| 08-01 14:16 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.73 | $199.30 |
| 08-01 13:30 | Will Astralis Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | SELL | 0.055 | $4.57 |
| 08-01 13:12 | Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? | SELL | 0.4781189555 | $29.66 |
| 08-01 13:08 | Will Astralis Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | BUY | 0.0672236436 | $15.03 |
| 08-01 12:35 | Will Astralis Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2? | BUY | 0.046 | $2.30 |