PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x7e847c9bcf61a5a5fce564260b19ec096101d064

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$305.4k
Markets traded
7,070
Open portfolio
$11.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,070
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Strava’s market cap be at least $15B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1100.165$5.52+$1.84
Will Movsar Evloev fight Arnold Allen next? · Yes0.4700.465$1.86$0.02
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.4180.029$1.01$13.80
Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.5940.018$0.77$25.37
Will Strava not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1300.075$0.66$0.47
Will Alexander Volkanovski fight Arnold Allen next? · Yes0.3500.125$0.50$0.90
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.0590.015$0.29$0.83
Will Republican House incumbents not win in three or fewer nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.3800.051$0.28$1.81
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.1040.054$0.27$0.25
Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes0.0180.011$0.27$0.19
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.2270.047$0.26$0.99
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.021$0.11+$0.02
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0420.004$0.02$0.19
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? · Yes0.0580.001$0.00$0.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 16? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 16:56Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.416$2.08
07-16 16:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4169999027$2.10
07-12 15:27Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.611$4.22
07-12 15:27Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.811$4.21
07-12 15:27Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.784$4.23
07-12 15:27Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.799$4.21
07-12 15:26France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?SELL0.69$1.04
07-12 15:26France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfSELL0.79$3.13
07-12 15:26France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfSELL0.69$1.04
07-12 15:26France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.4$3.08
07-12 15:11Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.811$1.05
07-12 15:11France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.7$1.06
07-12 15:11France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.8$1.06
07-12 15:11France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.41$1.05
07-12 15:11Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.612$1.06