0x7e847c9bcf61a5a5fce564260b19ec096101d064
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $305.4k
- Markets traded
- 7,070
- Open portfolio
- $11.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,070
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.12at 0.785Heat vs. Pacers
- +$52.01at -0.013Will another show be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$43.47at 0.170Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$39.37at 0.199Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 11?
- +$35.57at 0.321Will Seoul have between 120-130mm of precipitation in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 16:56 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.416 | $2.08 |
| 07-16 16:17 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4169999027 | $2.10 |
| 07-12 15:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.611 | $4.22 |
| 07-12 15:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.811 | $4.21 |
| 07-12 15:27 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.784 | $4.23 |
| 07-12 15:27 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.799 | $4.21 |
| 07-12 15:26 | France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.04 |
| 07-12 15:26 | France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half | SELL | 0.79 | $3.13 |
| 07-12 15:26 | France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | SELL | 0.69 | $1.04 |
| 07-12 15:26 | France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.4 | $3.08 |
| 07-12 15:11 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.811 | $1.05 |
| 07-12 15:11 | France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.06 |
| 07-12 15:11 | France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half | BUY | 0.8 | $1.06 |
| 07-12 15:11 | France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.41 | $1.05 |
| 07-12 15:11 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.612 | $1.06 |