PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.037. down 0.116 over the period, from 0.153. Range 0.037 to 0.257. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0704343
0.0785093
0.093135228
0.09423251
0.1005256
0.10482338
0.114119457
0.123100557
0.124150707
0.133100807
0.134162969
0.1441621,131

Spread0.062Mid0.039

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0084141
0.005100141
0.00495236
0.0037242
0.002550792
0.0013,3334,125

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9924141
0.995100141
0.99695236
0.9977242
0.998550792
0.9993,3334,125

Spread0.062Mid0.961

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9304343
0.9225093
0.907135228
0.90623251
0.9005256
0.89682338
0.886119457
0.877100557
0.876150707
0.867100807
0.866162969
0.8561621,131

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
win-at-all-costYes1,647
animal.beanYes503.99
0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50ABYes486.39
0x39AaEd185b92e99a78249610cc14A589B764583C-1759470981616Yes400
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes178.22
cry.eth2Yes150
human.beanYes99.2
LornaPredictsYes82.65
15robYes64.65
aHjCzYes57.8
LavinceyYes48.73
0x7009…390aYes43
rx78Yes40
AJSVYes40
FrankyFourFingersYes35.99
0x7e84…d064Yes35.4
a5tthsyuo3cYes24.84
ClickEqualConversionYes18.86
Tee1000Yes11.01
Elias.ThornwellYes10.04

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:27:23SELLNo0.935$4.45
12:56:03SELLYes0.02613$0.33
12:55:57BUYNo0.97420$19.48
12:55:57SELLYes0.0265$0.13
12:55:51SELLYes0.02620$0.52
12:55:45SELLYes0.02624$0.62
12:55:42BUYNo0.97416$15.58
12:55:39SELLYes0.02625$0.65
12:55:29BUYNo0.97420$19.48
12:54:56BUYNo0.97420$19.48
12:54:21BUYNo0.97420$19.48
10:11:29SELLNo0.6427520$12.86
00:42:32SELLYes0.02320$0.46
00:37:39SELLYes0.18320$3.66
00:37:39BUYYes0.18520$3.70
16:22:12SELLYes0.0133$0.04
22:08:37SELLYes0.0171$0.01
22:08:31SELLYes0.0175$0.09
04:23:52SELLYes0.012$0.02
19:14:28BUYNo0.5754$2.26
22:32:19BUYNo0.5756$3.51
01:48:02SELLNo0.9775$4.88
23:14:29BUYNo0.936$5.44
20:32:56SELLYes0.075$0.35
20:32:50SELLYes0.070$0.00