PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

avon5

0x7ffc53e8b88c2cda6e2c9be761fdc6da414dd342

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$383.0k
Markets traded
217
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded217
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8700.870$3.7k+$0.00
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3730.272$521.12$193.51
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · No0.5520.406$101.50$36.50
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? · Yes0.0300.644$6.44+$6.14
Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.4100.535$0.88+$0.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? · No0.4800.000$0.00$72.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 06:48Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?BUY0.03$0.30
07-25 10:12Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.6899999925$25.00
07-18 13:31Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.87$0.10
07-11 21:57Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.999$159.84
07-11 20:40Norway vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.63$69.30
07-09 18:29Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.266$133.00
07-06 21:07Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.4599999988$105.00
07-06 21:05Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?SELL0.027708$1.39
07-04 18:33Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceBUY0.93$930.00
07-02 18:22Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to AdvanceBUY0.6675$66.75
06-28 18:20South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5BUY0.59$26.55
06-28 18:20South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?BUY0.47$14.10
06-27 11:01Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETBUY0.5599999776$5.00
06-25 10:24Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.04$11.60
06-23 10:15Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.63$150.28