avon5
0x7ffc53e8b88c2cda6e2c9be761fdc6da414dd342
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $383.0k
- Markets traded
- 217
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded217
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.870 | 0.870 | $3.7k | +$0.00 |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.373 | 0.272 | $521.12 | −$193.51 |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · No | 0.552 | 0.406 | $101.50 | −$36.50 |
| Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.644 | $6.44 | +$6.14 |
| Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.535 | $0.88 | +$0.21 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? · No | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.157Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$229.71at 0.565Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$164.78at 0.250Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$162.28at 0.842Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5
- +$154.60at 0.942Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 06:48 | Will Lyon qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 07-25 10:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999925 | $25.00 |
| 07-18 13:31 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.10 |
| 07-11 21:57 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 07-11 20:40 | Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.63 | $69.30 |
| 07-09 18:29 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.266 | $133.00 |
| 07-06 21:07 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.4599999988 | $105.00 |
| 07-06 21:05 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | SELL | 0.027708 | $1.39 |
| 07-04 18:33 | Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.93 | $930.00 |
| 07-02 18:22 | Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6675 | $66.75 |
| 06-28 18:20 | South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.59 | $26.55 |
| 06-28 18:20 | South Africa vs. Canada: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.47 | $14.10 |
| 06-27 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 10:24 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $11.60 |
| 06-23 10:15 | Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.63 | $150.28 |