PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Niseko

0x801dbe416065cfa8ecffeae526eeb37f393fd8e0

Realised P&L
$34.89
Volume
$6.91M
Markets traded
1,459
Open portfolio
$73.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,459
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:19US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8193917$81.94
08-02 16:40US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8398490834$578.65
08-02 16:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8406904211$159.73
08-02 16:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8392065$33.57
08-02 16:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8378765556$150.82
08-02 16:32US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8392512821$654.62
08-02 13:42Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.95$47.50
08-02 13:40Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.98$166.60
08-02 12:40Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.94$61.10
08-02 11:34Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.9352386667$140.29
08-02 11:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.95$47.50
08-02 11:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.9492$94.92
08-02 11:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.9588799$958.88
08-02 11:03Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.8763870968$271.68
08-01 17:59US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.89$359.56