puravida
0x80a4552cdcde3b861b8adc146ab1fbd4711022cc
- Realised P&L
- $49.8k
- Volume
- $5.28M
- Markets traded
- 2,098
- Open portfolio
- $30.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,098
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.893Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$3.0kat 0.456Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$2.7kat 0.188Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$2.4kat 0.800Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
- +$2.3kat 0.520Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:38 | Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%? | BUY | 0.7 | $0.34 |
| 08-02 20:17 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.57 | $114.06 |
| 08-02 17:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.9k |
| 08-02 15:19 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m? | SELL | 0.187 | $0.71 |
| 08-02 12:42 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 08-02 07:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.23 |
| 08-01 14:57 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.44 | $9.49 |
| 08-01 14:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.87 |
| 08-01 09:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 07-29 19:25 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $146.02 |
| 07-29 19:12 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.6 | $21.00 |
| 07-29 19:05 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | SELL | 0.58 | $73.93 |
| 07-29 18:37 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.55 |
| 07-29 18:20 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.4 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 18:06 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.35 |