PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

puravida

0x80a4552cdcde3b861b8adc146ab1fbd4711022cc

Realised P&L
$49.8k
Volume
$5.28M
Markets traded
2,098
Open portfolio
$30.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,098
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.6850.905$4.7k+$1.1k
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · No0.7840.940$4.7k+$779.85
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.8770.962$3.6k+$316.33
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? · No0.7740.974$1.9k+$379.64
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.5640.575$1.3k+$24.12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2960.192$967.07$526.65
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026? · No0.5420.944$958.01+$407.86
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026? · No0.7580.933$933.27+$175.01
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? · No0.9430.957$927.31+$13.50
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? · No0.3740.920$913.98+$542.68
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7800.855$897.74+$78.75
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3530.325$817.24$70.31
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3440.530$795.53+$279.63
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? · No0.9540.974$587.88+$11.98
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? · No0.3210.335$563.00+$23.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 08:38Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?BUY0.7$0.34
08-02 20:17Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.57$114.06
08-02 17:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4$1.9k
08-02 15:19Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?SELL0.187$0.71
08-02 12:42Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?SELL0.32$32.00
08-02 07:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.11$3.23
08-01 14:57Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.44$9.49
08-01 14:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?SELL0.37$1.87
08-01 09:07Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.998$299.40
07-29 19:25Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.31$146.02
07-29 19:12Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.6$21.00
07-29 19:05Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.58$73.93
07-29 18:37Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.3$0.55
07-29 18:20Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.4$50.00
07-29 18:06Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.007$0.35