PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ItaiB

0x82b601f9d06bf22e316869bf2c31ca7f6d425a2e

Realised P&L
$-167.63
Volume
$27.5k
Markets traded
297
Open portfolio
$140.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded297
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.4610.175$37.62$61.43
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3120.310$23.73$0.17
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.4400.215$17.20$18.00
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2020.115$11.50$8.68
Will Burundi have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.6500.280$8.40$11.10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · No0.4900.215$6.45$8.25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2210.095$5.70$7.57
Will South Sudan have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.7000.640$5.65$0.53
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.4710.210$5.46$6.78
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.225$4.50$0.70
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3300.215$3.27$1.75
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.4610.260$3.25$2.51
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.6500.300$3.00$3.50
OPEC dissolves in 2026? · Yes0.1100.055$1.52$1.52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0810.035$1.35$1.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 21:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.49$14.70
07-24 20:38Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?BUY0.59$11.80
07-24 14:17Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.07$2.10
07-23 17:25Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?BUY0.44$8.80
07-23 16:56Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.48$4.80
07-23 16:56Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?BUY0.478$19.12
07-23 14:55Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.57$17.10
07-21 14:24Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?BUY0.61$6.10
07-21 14:24Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?BUY0.36$7.20
07-21 14:23Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?BUY0.37$7.40
07-21 14:23Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?BUY0.48$9.60
07-21 14:22Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?SELL0.922$36.88
07-20 21:11Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?BUY0.24$1.24
07-20 21:08Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?BUY0.2$1.66
07-19 21:45Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?BUY0.47$10.34