PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

IlIllllIlllIIIIlllllIIIIII

0x84157f75e4ae2c27ccab9d928fe5ec557774dfe1

Realised P&L
$-11.8k
Volume
$750.7k
Markets traded
1,644
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,644
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5621.000$1.4k+$613.20
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · No0.9181.000$887.35+$72.42
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.5050.780$760.50+$268.00
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.6880.955$695.36+$194.30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · Yes0.3201.000$500.00+$340.00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8800.960$479.75+$39.75
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6981.000$373.88+$113.00
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.5600.815$112.05+$35.05
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2500.207$103.75$21.25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7800.855$85.50+$7.50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0610.887$56.57+$52.68
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9000.945$51.42+$2.45
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? · No0.0660.065$22.49$0.48
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · No0.1800.959$21.10+$17.14
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9200.955$9.54+$0.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-14 00:19Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 13?BUY0.07$2.80
02-13 05:05Government shutdown on Saturday?BUY0.85$143.77
02-11 16:34Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY0.046$1.20
02-09 19:04Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY0.14$1.82
02-09 18:51Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY0.2$100.00
02-06 00:28Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?BUY0.48$15.65
02-05 15:08Elon Phoenix vs. Hampton PiratesBUY0.55$9.90
02-04 23:47Celtics vs. Rockets: O/U 210.5BUY0.47$46.53
02-04 22:00Timberwolves vs. Raptors: O/U 223.5BUY0.57$241.11
02-04 21:12Wright State Raiders vs. Robert Morris ColonialsBUY0.53$56.71
02-03 20:12Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncos: O/U 145.5BUY0.44$21.12
02-03 18:21Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-08?BUY0.9$36.90
02-03 17:46Zalgiris Kaunas vs. MonacoBUY0.53$92.50
02-03 17:46Zalgiris Kaunas vs. MonacoBUY0.53$241.15
02-03 17:46Zalgiris Kaunas vs. MonacoBUY0.53$241.15