a5tthsyuo3c
0x841c4aa6a69055a484b40cfe065da9785e72b20d
- Realised P&L
- $117.56
- Volume
- $306.2k
- Markets traded
- 5,798
- Open portfolio
- $313.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,798
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$244.00at 0.071Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
- +$241.17at 0.083Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$207.21at 0.500Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$188.99at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
- +$172.81at 0.040Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 11:26 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR? | SELL | 0.445 | $6.67 |
| 06-23 11:26 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + USR + UDMR + AUR? | SELL | 0.431 | $6.46 |
| 06-12 15:15 | Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.21 |
| 06-05 09:39 | Will Harry Dunn be the Democratic nominee for MD-05? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 06-03 01:22 | Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.44 |
| 06-02 06:59 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour? | SELL | 0.072 | $0.16 |
| 06-01 13:49 | Will Oliver Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.04 |
| 06-01 04:12 | Will the Republican Party hold between 225 and 229 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 04:20 | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 05-22 19:18 | Will the Labour Party win the next Maltese general election by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.27 | $2.16 |
| 05-19 23:03 | Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.102 | $0.14 |
| 05-19 21:46 | Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 05-19 17:02 | Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.77 |
| 05-19 14:58 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.46 | $0.35 |
| 05-19 06:15 | Will the Democratic Party win 10 or fewer upper-level local government races? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |