ColdSoap2
0x859b4303ce5ae7d6fd43bc118d807a01b37f31b8
- Realised P&L
- $-30.1k
- Volume
- $3.41M
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $15.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.009 | $8.7k | −$6.1k |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.011 | $7.2k | −$17.8k |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.1k |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.0kat 0.753Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 02:41 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $68.15 |
| 07-30 02:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0296964626 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 14:46 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.753 | $376.50 |
| 07-29 14:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.754 | $1.9k |
| 07-29 14:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.754 | $3.8k |
| 07-29 14:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.755 | $981.50 |
| 07-29 14:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.755 | $3.0k |
| 07-29 14:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7510940755 | $5.9k |
| 07-29 08:09 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.018 | $99.81 |
| 07-15 16:09 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.04 | $42.87 |
| 07-14 13:43 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0193975425 | $0.54 |
| 07-14 13:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.93 | $35.8k |
| 07-14 05:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.035 | $9.15 |
| 07-14 05:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.8k |
| 07-14 05:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.65 | $10.8k |