PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ColdSoap2

0x859b4303ce5ae7d6fd43bc118d807a01b37f31b8

Realised P&L
$-30.1k
Volume
$3.41M
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$15.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0160.009$8.7k$6.1k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0400.011$7.2k$17.8k
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$25.1k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1980.000$0.00$48.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 02:41Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.011$68.15
07-30 02:40Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0296964626$50.00
07-29 14:46Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.753$376.50
07-29 14:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.754$1.9k
07-29 14:44Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.754$3.8k
07-29 14:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.755$981.50
07-29 14:39Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.755$3.0k
07-29 14:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7510940755$5.9k
07-29 08:09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.018$99.81
07-15 16:09Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.04$42.87
07-14 13:43Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0193975425$0.54
07-14 13:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.93$35.8k
07-14 05:27Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.035$9.15
07-14 05:11Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.65$5.8k
07-14 05:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.65$10.8k