0x85f358868fe8f54a3ff248ffce56322987079687
- Realised P&L
- $5.59
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $21.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.53at 0.060Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$16.74at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
- +$15.39at 0.760Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$10.26at 0.018Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
- +$9.73at 0.870Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:47 | Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | BUY | 0.1410089021 | $23.76 |
| 08-01 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999282 | $2.84 |
| 08-01 22:30 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.204 | $2.31 |
| 08-01 22:26 | XRP Up or Down - August 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999137 | $1.89 |
| 08-01 22:25 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.90 |
| 07-28 18:08 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-28 18:03 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.1504801505 | $1.90 |
| 07-28 18:03 | Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | SELL | 0.0443233268 | $1.80 |
| 07-28 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $1.87 |
| 07-28 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1099999533 | $1.86 |
| 07-28 17:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $2.82 |
| 07-28 17:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.86 |
| 07-28 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999326 | $1.87 |
| 07-28 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.88 |
| 07-27 16:00 | Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.1399999793 | $5.69 |