Elton123
0x8673e56b63b9cec4bbf96b4d4bd01a9333464025
- Realised P&L
- $155.67
- Volume
- $121.0k
- Markets traded
- 884
- Open portfolio
- $942.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded884
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$311.94at 0.005Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$173.60at 0.246Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$168.13at 0.044Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
- +$137.03at 0.129Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$91.57at 0.348Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:12 | Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999911 | $4.69 |
| 08-02 18:03 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1774124255 | $8.90 |
| 08-02 18:03 | Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.64 |
| 08-02 15:43 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999875 | $5.19 |
| 08-02 15:40 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | SELL | 0.64 | $7.71 |
| 08-02 14:44 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999951 | $16.55 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0363963964 | $1.01 |
| 08-02 14:35 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0370889071 | $1.92 |
| 08-02 14:20 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0229999853 | $1.55 |
| 08-02 14:20 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998583 | $1.01 |
| 08-02 14:20 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998583 | $1.01 |
| 08-02 14:20 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998583 | $1.01 |
| 08-02 14:17 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0136145582 | $1.01 |
| 08-02 14:17 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 08-02 14:17 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998583 | $1.01 |