PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Elton123

0x8673e56b63b9cec4bbf96b4d4bd01a9333464025

Realised P&L
$155.67
Volume
$121.0k
Markets traded
884
Open portfolio
$942.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded884
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.6890.870$63.17+$13.17
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1860.220$59.05+$9.05
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.6500.705$54.21+$4.22
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.885$50.86+$0.86
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · No0.8490.815$48.19$2.01
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? · No0.6490.550$41.42$7.43
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6390.705$40.70+$3.80
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0270.138$38.90+$31.18
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1110.105$25.97$1.49
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,176,000 and $1,198,000 on September 30? · Yes0.1050.365$24.65+$17.58
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? · No0.5270.892$20.34+$8.34
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2660.575$18.98+$10.21
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · No0.5340.700$18.49+$4.37
Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0920.320$17.49+$12.44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0590.031$16.87$15.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:12Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.5199999911$4.69
08-02 18:03Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.1774124255$8.90
08-02 18:03Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.22$2.64
08-02 15:43Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.6499999875$5.19
08-02 15:40Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?SELL0.64$7.71
08-02 14:44Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.6799999951$16.55
08-02 14:41Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0363963964$1.01
08-02 14:35Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0370889071$1.92
08-02 14:20Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0229999853$1.55
08-02 14:20Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.2699998583$1.01
08-02 14:20Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.2699998583$1.01
08-02 14:20Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.2699998583$1.01
08-02 14:17Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0136145582$1.01
08-02 14:17Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.19$1.90
08-02 14:17Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $5.50 on September 30, 2026?BUY0.2699998583$1.01