0x895f4b9bC8960AC7e2C7d79e66B39772bdbc200d-1762461799224
0x895f4b9bc8960ac7e2c7d79e66b39772bdbc200d
- Realised P&L
- $-5.6k
- Volume
- $294.0k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $52.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.50at 0.160Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$16.90at 0.726Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$-2.48at 0.023Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-2.3kat 0.045No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 14:36 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0306412915 | $80.35 |
| 07-29 14:35 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0418586645 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 14:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.018 | $48.79 |
| 07-29 14:34 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.038 | $149.36 |
| 06-24 19:20 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0769999997 | $194.50 |
| 06-24 19:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0445241188 | $175.00 |
| 06-24 19:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.055335064 | $150.00 |
| 06-24 19:17 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.52 |
| 06-24 19:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.24 | $562.50 |
| 04-29 16:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0229999926 | $3.00 |
| 04-29 16:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.16 | $375.00 |
| 04-29 16:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $25.00 |
| 04-29 16:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.07 | $175.00 |
| 03-07 04:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $98.60 |
| 03-06 20:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $98.19 |