PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

End123

0x8df73e2962d0184ea1f71621784d46ca6b5936c4

Realised P&L
$-33.3k
Volume
$3.64M
Markets traded
571
Open portfolio
$201.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded571
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9280.975$110.8k+$5.3k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8190.962$22.1k+$3.3k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8200.945$7.8k+$1.0k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7910.925$5.5k+$797.94
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7770.887$5.5k+$685.11
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No0.8030.988$4.9k+$922.79
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9100.971$4.9k+$302.49
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? · Yes0.7920.845$4.4k+$271.81
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · Yes0.8570.590$4.3k$1.9k
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · Yes0.8110.898$3.6k+$349.65
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.7060.625$3.4k$438.94
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.875$2.0k+$34.43
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? · Yes0.7890.705$1.6k$185.95
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title · Yes0.8580.875$1.4k+$27.64
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · No0.4900.535$1.2k+$103.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 17:07Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?SELL0.14$69.86
07-24 15:16LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.88$2.9k
07-24 15:15LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.87$835.60
07-23 22:53Spread: Team Spoon (-4.5)SELL0.54$4.47
07-23 10:55Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?BUY0.52$57.13
07-23 10:53MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?SELL0.09$123.82
07-23 09:09Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.957$11.2k
07-22 22:04Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season?BUY0.85$387.06
07-22 12:15Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?BUY0.97$4.0k
07-22 12:15Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31?BUY0.969$375.00
07-21 12:13Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?BUY0.009$39.60
07-21 12:12Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?BUY0.008$2.40
07-21 12:12Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?BUY0.007$4.48
07-16 00:08Will Danny Walker finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?BUY0.05$28.98
07-16 00:08Will Jeremy Paul finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship?SELL0.26$1.42