End123
0x8df73e2962d0184ea1f71621784d46ca6b5936c4
- Realised P&L
- $-33.3k
- Volume
- $3.64M
- Markets traded
- 571
- Open portfolio
- $201.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded571
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.7kat 0.580Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets
- +$5.3kat 0.778Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$3.3kat 0.883Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$3.0kat 0.857US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$2.6kat 0.500Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 17:07 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $69.86 |
| 07-24 15:16 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.88 | $2.9k |
| 07-24 15:15 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.87 | $835.60 |
| 07-23 22:53 | Spread: Team Spoon (-4.5) | SELL | 0.54 | $4.47 |
| 07-23 10:55 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $57.13 |
| 07-23 10:53 | MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? | SELL | 0.09 | $123.82 |
| 07-23 09:09 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $11.2k |
| 07-22 22:04 | Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.85 | $387.06 |
| 07-22 12:15 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.0k |
| 07-22 12:15 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $11B by July 31? | BUY | 0.969 | $375.00 |
| 07-21 12:13 | Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.009 | $39.60 |
| 07-21 12:12 | Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.40 |
| 07-21 12:12 | Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.48 |
| 07-16 00:08 | Will Danny Walker finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship? | BUY | 0.05 | $28.98 |
| 07-16 00:08 | Will Jeremy Paul finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Corales Puntacana Championship? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.42 |