PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

cashy

0x8f42ae0a01c0383c7ca8bd060b86a645ee74b88f

Realised P&L
$545.1k
Volume
$13.57M
Markets traded
878
Open portfolio
$43.6k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded878
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8630.951$12.7k+$1.2k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.655$9.8k$972.76
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2690.278$8.0k+$244.12
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9650.957$5.4k$45.91
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · No0.9880.976$2.4k$30.32
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4400.465$2.1k+$111.10
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? · Yes0.5850.215$1.0k$1.8k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.2900.275$916.57$49.99
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3950.200$575.39$559.85
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4700.075$364.85$1.9k
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes0.3210.105$161.07$331.43
Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes0.0550.024$159.48$206.03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August? · Yes0.0240.013$65.88$58.66
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0420.021$56.49$54.38
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.2900.002$8.33$1.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 19:40US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9651157968$5.5k
08-01 19:40US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.988$2.4k
08-01 19:12Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?BUY0.0235773071$119.54
08-01 19:08Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.0550045733$365.51
08-01 19:07US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.72$10.8k
08-01 19:06Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.042$110.87
08-01 19:06Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.393729415$975.24
08-01 19:06Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.3210592638$492.50
07-24 22:02Israel military action against Yemen by July 21?BUY0.9987501211$1.6k
07-24 20:04Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?BUY0.83$985.74
07-24 20:03Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?BUY0.747514702$963.50
07-19 15:56Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?BUY0.9675558644$1.7k
07-19 15:56Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?BUY0.999$4.8k
07-18 21:08Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?BUY0.1974785408$36.81
07-18 17:42Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.196504524$605.72