serkulesss
0x92c10b2d500b8fec2cd4c6dddb244352de230586
- Realised P&L
- $125.09
- Volume
- $180.0k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.568Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$425.79at 0.539Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$165.84at 0.678Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$162.11at 0.592Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$155.25at 0.499Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 11:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.196 | $98.19 |
| 07-25 12:03 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 07-21 21:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $236.82 |
| 07-21 07:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $205.40 |
| 07-21 07:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.0k |
| 07-21 07:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $244.40 |
| 07-21 07:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $630.00 |
| 07-21 07:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $147.20 |
| 07-21 07:15 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.74 | $59.20 |
| 07-20 22:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $105.00 |
| 07-20 22:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 07-20 10:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $99.28 |
| 07-18 23:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $199.80 |
| 07-18 23:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $209.00 |
| 07-18 23:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |