PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

serkulesss

0x92c10b2d500b8fec2cd4c6dddb244352de230586

Realised P&L
$125.09
Volume
$180.0k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9180.935$2.1k+$37.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.895$626.50$3.50
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7510.650$576.52$89.26
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · No0.6400.755$272.31+$41.48
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5440.365$267.18$131.24
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.4800.195$106.26$155.30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7300.805$80.50+$7.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.245$73.50$31.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.140$61.60$39.60
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2100.195$19.50$1.50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1960.000$0.00$98.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00$2.30
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5AM ET · Down0.0930.000$0.00$79.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.6290.000$0.00$125.89
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw? · Yes0.8090.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 11:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.196$98.19
07-25 12:03Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.73$73.00
07-21 21:25Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$236.82
07-21 07:55Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$205.40
07-21 07:51Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$2.0k
07-21 07:25Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.94$244.40
07-21 07:22Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$630.00
07-21 07:16Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$147.20
07-21 07:15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.74$59.20
07-20 22:43Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.53$105.00
07-20 22:31Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$92.00
07-20 10:52Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$99.28
07-18 23:53Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.74$199.80
07-18 23:52Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$209.00
07-18 23:46Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.73$73.00