PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

zugzwaaang

0x93222fb1df4aa83497b92beb1c7af2f1bd039739

Realised P&L
$-5.3k
Volume
$197.0k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.4200.460$726.34+$63.16
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0460.042$592.62$68.22
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · No0.8570.495$468.27$342.82
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7170.967$276.41+$71.41
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1400.304$244.78+$132.17
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0310.048$56.06+$19.73
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0510.025$37.45$37.82
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0180.003$18.23$112.65
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? · Yes0.2580.005$17.60$890.41
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$34.23
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$200.00
Will January 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$81.03
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$200.00
Will January 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$67.75
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? · Yes0.2860.000$0.00$600.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 16:49Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.033$66.00
06-18 16:49Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.033$66.00
06-18 16:48Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.033$165.00
04-04 15:26Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.7399999998$200.00
04-04 15:25Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?SELL0.27$38.10
04-04 11:31Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.2819446985$400.00
04-02 22:58Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.2948508718$200.00
04-02 22:52Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.05$200.00
04-02 22:51Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.0794627607$200.00
04-02 22:51Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.0629759559$200.00
04-02 22:49Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?BUY0.4899999996$500.00
03-11 14:59Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY0.128$4.10
03-11 14:59Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY0.128$4.48
03-11 14:58Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?BUY0.1299564493$17.93
03-11 14:57Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?SELL0.6735461126$1.2k