zugzwaaang
0x93222fb1df4aa83497b92beb1c7af2f1bd039739
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $197.0k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.543Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
- +$340.92at 0.270US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$258.71at 0.567Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?
- +$225.27at 0.839Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
- +$175.44at 0.931Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 16:49 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.033 | $66.00 |
| 06-18 16:49 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.033 | $66.00 |
| 06-18 16:48 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.033 | $165.00 |
| 04-04 15:26 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | BUY | 0.7399999998 | $200.00 |
| 04-04 15:25 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | SELL | 0.27 | $38.10 |
| 04-04 11:31 | Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | BUY | 0.2819446985 | $400.00 |
| 04-02 22:58 | Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | BUY | 0.2948508718 | $200.00 |
| 04-02 22:52 | Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | BUY | 0.05 | $200.00 |
| 04-02 22:51 | Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | BUY | 0.0794627607 | $200.00 |
| 04-02 22:51 | Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | BUY | 0.0629759559 | $200.00 |
| 04-02 22:49 | Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | BUY | 0.4899999996 | $500.00 |
| 03-11 14:59 | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026? | BUY | 0.128 | $4.10 |
| 03-11 14:59 | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026? | BUY | 0.128 | $4.48 |
| 03-11 14:58 | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026? | BUY | 0.1299564493 | $17.93 |
| 03-11 14:57 | Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026? | SELL | 0.6735461126 | $1.2k |