PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x9793031523F4B7a0Fa7Ec00089b29FAC94B1789c-1769821449308

0x9793031523f4b7a0fa7ec00089b29fac94b1789c

Realised P&L
$-25.0k
Volume
$4.54M
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$201.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0440.011$178.36$503.58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0340.009$23.28$60.73
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2490.000$0.00$292.62
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$117.73
Spread: Cabo Verde (-3.5) · Cabo Verde0.0030.000$0.00$18.99
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$789.09
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$438.97
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$84.00
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$50.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$376.50
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Austria? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.5k
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$100.00
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5) · Cabo Verde0.0100.000$0.00$246.90
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$805.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 15:13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0363967243$4.00
07-29 15:12Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0447949749$377.25
07-29 15:08Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0341793298$80.01
07-29 15:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0429971334$300.00
07-29 15:02Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0427278485$4.71
07-09 13:04Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.03$332.58
07-09 13:03Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?BUY0.0129793525$50.00
07-09 13:03Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?BUY0.0429999996$100.00
07-09 12:42Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?BUY0.0140000001$1.64
07-09 12:40Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.03$239.88
07-09 12:40Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Morocco?BUY0.0133755414$100.00
07-09 12:39Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?BUY0.0118694362$100.00
07-09 12:39Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?BUY0.0429999996$100.00
07-09 12:39Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?BUY0.006$100.00
07-09 12:39Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Morocco?BUY0.0221223404$100.00