PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Investnow

0x97f3f9f15c0063710c60d3ac9c40d17f4ba60eba

Realised P&L
$-45.0k
Volume
$1.08M
Markets traded
339
Open portfolio
$39.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded339
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.6210.695$6.5k+$691.50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.3970.905$4.2k+$2.3k
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.5480.730$4.1k+$1.0k
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.5180.780$3.8k+$1.3k
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4520.740$3.8k+$1.5k
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.6120.745$3.8k+$671.20
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4350.650$3.0k+$986.94
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · No0.5900.760$2.2k+$493.07
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? · No0.3430.815$2.1k+$1.2k
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.6300.780$1.9k+$367.68
Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.5860.725$1.1k+$213.32
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · Yes0.4030.255$632.57$367.43
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.5350.365$526.23$245.76
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? · No0.5770.650$450.26+$50.26
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4400.355$403.41$96.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:43Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?SELL0.8034984819$58.22
08-02 18:41Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.6395686352$300.00
08-02 17:07Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.8050465472$100.00
08-02 16:57Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.642066519$600.00
08-02 10:56Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.6184974317$500.00
08-01 17:20Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.6200284987$5.0k
08-01 17:19Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.5399453929$494.39
08-01 17:19Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.5266700104$2.0k
07-31 13:31Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.624322889$1.3k
07-31 13:31Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.6157931198$1.7k
07-31 13:09Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.6499999991$150.00
07-31 13:09Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.5903218675$250.00
07-31 11:39Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.6191362434$600.00
07-29 11:56Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?BUY0.4031179481$1000.00
07-29 11:46Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.584476713$650.00