Investnow
0x97f3f9f15c0063710c60d3ac9c40d17f4ba60eba
- Realised P&L
- $-45.0k
- Volume
- $1.08M
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $39.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.8kat 0.446Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$14.4kat 0.633US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$13.5kat 0.689Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
- +$11.1kat 0.645US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
- +$6.4kat 0.701Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:43 | Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | SELL | 0.8034984819 | $58.22 |
| 08-02 18:41 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.6395686352 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 17:07 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.8050465472 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 16:57 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.642066519 | $600.00 |
| 08-02 10:56 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.6184974317 | $500.00 |
| 08-01 17:20 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.6200284987 | $5.0k |
| 08-01 17:19 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.5399453929 | $494.39 |
| 08-01 17:19 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.5266700104 | $2.0k |
| 07-31 13:31 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.624322889 | $1.3k |
| 07-31 13:31 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6157931198 | $1.7k |
| 07-31 13:09 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999991 | $150.00 |
| 07-31 13:09 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.5903218675 | $250.00 |
| 07-31 11:39 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.6191362434 | $600.00 |
| 07-29 11:56 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? | BUY | 0.4031179481 | $1000.00 |
| 07-29 11:46 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.584476713 | $650.00 |