LucieC.
0x983fd9ec745c64cc9c800421fc0fe0ec4069fd5e
- Realised P&L
- $544.26
- Volume
- $371.4k
- Markets traded
- 706
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded706
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.072Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.257Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.201Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus?
- +$555.27at 0.522Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?
- +$255.83at 0.201Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 10:15 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.94 |
| 07-27 10:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.194 | $19.40 |
| 07-27 10:07 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $10.75 |
| 07-27 10:03 | Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $19.50 |
| 07-11 20:08 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $9.50 |
| 07-11 20:08 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.019 | $9.50 |
| 07-11 20:07 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 07-07 12:37 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.023 | $2.30 |
| 07-07 12:35 | Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 07-07 12:33 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.889 | $44.45 |
| 07-07 12:33 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.889 | $44.45 |
| 07-07 12:31 | Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.67 | $22.11 |
| 07-07 12:30 | Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 07-07 12:29 | Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.91 | $31.85 |
| 07-07 12:29 | Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.74 | $27.36 |