cassino
0x9b06708f82009f5ad2648d6cdc29c45d365b0b42
- Realised P&L
- $4.7k
- Volume
- $2.31M
- Markets traded
- 849
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded849
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.6kat 0.159Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
- +$6.8kat 0.057Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
- +$5.1kat 0.056Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 16 – Feb 20?
- +$5.1kat 0.367Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 7?
- +$4.2kat 0.095Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $5.00?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 22:30 | Will Ferran Torres Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award? | BUY | 0.0370000014 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 22:27 | Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.051999976 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 15:03 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5919999999 | $1.2k |
| 07-15 08:10 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.54 | $305.00 |
| 07-14 16:16 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5799999995 | $300.00 |
| 07-08 08:44 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0309999985 | $20.00 |
| 07-07 16:19 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $6.00 |
| 06-12 20:47 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.0899999992 | $100.00 |
| 06-12 19:29 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | BUY | 0.8599999953 | $80.00 |
| 06-12 18:52 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |
| 06-12 18:52 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2 | $150.00 |
| 06-11 18:56 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 06-07 18:28 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30? | BUY | 0.8749320668 | $99.00 |
| 06-07 18:27 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30? | BUY | 0.9279999998 | $150.00 |
| 06-06 11:58 | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $50.00 |