PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

cassino

0x9b06708f82009f5ad2648d6cdc29c45d365b0b42

Realised P&L
$4.7k
Volume
$2.31M
Markets traded
849
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded849
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.2600.375$749.99+$230.00
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.5900.550$670.25$48.74
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.1720.074$339.31$446.00
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.4100.175$112.15$150.60
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? · Yes0.4370.190$13.92$18.08
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of February? · No0.3490.000$0.00$166.00
Will Google reach $330 in March? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$9.00
Will Nayt win Sanremo 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$15.12
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 16 above $260? · No0.2480.000$0.00$17.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8? · Yes0.4570.000$0.00$881.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$56.56
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker? · No0.0500.000$0.00$50.00
Will Ferran Torres Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award? · No0.0370.000$0.00$1.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$210.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? · Yes0.5810.000$0.00$573.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 22:30Will Ferran Torres Win the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Player of the Match Award?BUY0.0370000014$1.00
07-19 22:27Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.051999976$2.00
07-19 15:03Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5919999999$1.2k
07-15 08:10England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.54$305.00
07-14 16:16France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5799999995$300.00
07-08 08:44Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0309999985$20.00
07-07 16:19Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$6.00
06-12 20:47Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.0899999992$100.00
06-12 19:29SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?BUY0.8599999953$80.00
06-12 18:52Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.2$50.00
06-12 18:52Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.2$150.00
06-11 18:56Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.1099999982$50.00
06-07 18:28Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?BUY0.8749320668$99.00
06-07 18:27Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?BUY0.9279999998$150.00
06-06 11:58Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaBUY0.1899999975$50.00