PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rooivalk

0x9bcada74fbcaa331afecdf7e861fbc9532ecca1f

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$7.54M
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$233.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.537$107.5k+$7.5k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.463$92.5k$7.5k
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7270.887$22.2k+$4.0k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3760.278$11.1k$4.0k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1940.000$0.00$388.00
Spread: Japan (-1.5) · Japan0.0500.000$0.00$50.00
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$160.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? · No0.4300.000$0.00$215.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No0.2660.000$0.00$13.3k
Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00$3.5k
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$140.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 22:58Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.76$199.12
07-27 22:58Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.76$2.6k
07-27 22:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.266$2.7k
07-27 22:50Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.75$138.75
07-27 22:50Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.74$577.52
07-26 15:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.163$1.8k
07-26 15:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.17$1.4k
07-23 14:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.283$112.53
07-23 12:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.26$107.06
07-23 12:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.257$334.88
07-22 14:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.242$133.69
07-22 13:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.839$43.07
07-14 12:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.92$7.0k
07-14 09:57Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.6000201409$22.6k
07-14 09:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.61$251.20