rooivalk
0x9bcada74fbcaa331afecdf7e861fbc9532ecca1f
- Realised P&L
- $3.9k
- Volume
- $7.54M
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $233.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.537 | $107.5k | +$7.5k |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.463 | $92.5k | −$7.5k |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.727 | 0.887 | $22.2k | +$4.0k |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.376 | 0.278 | $11.1k | −$4.0k |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$388.00 |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) · Japan | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 3 Japan? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$160.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? · No | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$215.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No | 0.266 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.3k |
| Will England win on 2026-07-15? · Yes | 0.352 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.5k |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.5kat 0.922No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$25.6kat 0.939Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$11.9kat 0.963Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$9.3kat 0.980No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
- +$8.6kat 0.967Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 22:58 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $199.12 |
| 07-27 22:58 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.6k |
| 07-27 22:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.266 | $2.7k |
| 07-27 22:50 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $138.75 |
| 07-27 22:50 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $577.52 |
| 07-26 15:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.163 | $1.8k |
| 07-26 15:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.4k |
| 07-23 14:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.283 | $112.53 |
| 07-23 12:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.26 | $107.06 |
| 07-23 12:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.257 | $334.88 |
| 07-22 14:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.242 | $133.69 |
| 07-22 13:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.839 | $43.07 |
| 07-14 12:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.0k |
| 07-14 09:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.6000201409 | $22.6k |
| 07-14 09:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.61 | $251.20 |