SAPA9588
0x9ddcb819e97bb16361e5cdb594c900989723f21c
- Realised P&L
- $-9.2k
- Volume
- $409.3k
- Markets traded
- 405
- Open portfolio
- $23.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded405
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.779Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$2.1kat 0.686Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-30?
- +$1.3kat 0.919Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
- +$1.2kat 0.646Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.1kat 0.837Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 23:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6699998437 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 22:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.67 | $1.6k |
| 08-01 22:48 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.975 | $1.6k |
| 08-01 22:40 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6699999967 | $40.50 |
| 08-01 22:39 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6675209378 | $20.4k |
| 08-01 22:39 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6703857186 | $2.2k |
| 08-01 22:37 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.97503779 | $23.0k |
| 07-29 23:45 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.9822289719 | $24.8k |
| 07-19 15:56 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4089999993 | $290.95 |
| 07-19 15:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.9445512188 | $302.26 |
| 07-18 08:33 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999975 | $18.69 |
| 07-15 06:22 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5399999972 | $77.74 |
| 07-14 16:06 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5799999925 | $29.45 |
| 07-13 07:40 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5949999945 | $34.18 |
| 07-13 05:58 | Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? | BUY | 0.516999995 | $32.28 |