PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SAPA9588

0x9ddcb819e97bb16361e5cdb594c900989723f21c

Realised P&L
$-9.2k
Volume
$409.3k
Markets traded
405
Open portfolio
$23.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded405
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6680.655$23.8k$470.51
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$5.00
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June? · Yes0.5170.000$0.00$456.18
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6370.000$0.00$20.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5340.000$0.00$64.00
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5800.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00$2.00
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5240.000$0.00$25.00
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$59.97
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6500.000$0.00$39.85
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$64.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.5130.000$0.00$129.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 23:09Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6699998437$3.00
08-01 22:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.67$1.6k
08-01 22:48Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.975$1.6k
08-01 22:40Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6699999967$40.50
08-01 22:39Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6675209378$20.4k
08-01 22:39Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6703857186$2.2k
08-01 22:37Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.97503779$23.0k
07-29 23:45Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.9822289719$24.8k
07-19 15:56Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4089999993$290.95
07-19 15:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.9445512188$302.26
07-18 08:33France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6699999975$18.69
07-15 06:22England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999972$77.74
07-14 16:06France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5799999925$29.45
07-13 07:40France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5949999945$34.18
07-13 05:58Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?BUY0.516999995$32.28