0x9fE8575B05313c440340E3aE21Af1E0e300C2c91-1772046049700
0x9fe8575b05313c440340e3ae21af1e0e300c2c91
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $891.7k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.100US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.500Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$3.3kat 0.578Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$3.1kat 0.760Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$2.4kat 0.433Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:08 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.026 | $26.00 |
| 07-31 22:04 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 07-31 21:14 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.0073778861 | $1.95 |
| 07-30 10:07 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.21 | $175.45 |
| 07-30 10:07 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.21 | $210.00 |
| 07-29 16:51 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $250.00 |
| 07-29 15:47 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.25 | $250.00 |
| 07-25 02:10 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $81.28 |
| 07-20 16:47 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $41.39 |
| 07-20 16:46 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $396.85 |
| 07-20 16:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.27 | $540.00 |
| 07-13 17:08 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.21 | $210.00 |
| 07-13 12:17 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $330.00 |
| 07-07 18:00 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.9398911778 | $939.87 |
| 07-01 21:51 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | SELL | 0.0949503 | $94.95 |