PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x9fE8575B05313c440340E3aE21Af1E0e300C2c91-1772046049700

0x9fe8575b05313c440340e3ae21af1e0e300c2c91

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$891.7k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2520.205$1.7k$402.47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1740.110$715.00$414.96
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1900.095$95.00$95.00
Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes0.0380.024$48.00$29.00
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$11.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$95.99
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? · No0.1560.000$0.00$312.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$250.00
Exact Score: Any Other Score? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$82.27
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$161.00
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.0800.000$0.00$800.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.0010.000$0.00$100.00
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$7.65
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$330.00
Israel closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.2970.000$0.00$877.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:08Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.026$26.00
07-31 22:04Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.15$150.00
07-31 21:14Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.0073778861$1.95
07-30 10:07Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.21$175.45
07-30 10:07Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.21$210.00
07-29 16:51Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.25$250.00
07-29 15:47Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.25$250.00
07-25 02:10Israel closes its airspace by July 31?SELL0.21$81.28
07-20 16:47Israel closes its airspace by July 31?BUY0.16$41.39
07-20 16:46Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.27$396.85
07-20 16:45Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.27$540.00
07-13 17:08Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.21$210.00
07-13 12:17Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.33$330.00
07-07 18:00Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.9398911778$939.87
07-01 21:51Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.0949503$94.95