Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-04-30
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.10 to 0.21. 158 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	2,400	2,400
0.12	10,100	12,500
0.13	17,414	29,915
0.14	22,127	52,042
0.15	3,070	55,112
0.16	700	55,812
0.17	847	56,658
0.18	700	57,358
0.19	1,400	58,758
0.20	20	58,778
0.21	505	59,283
0.22	1,189	60,472

Spread0.02Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	7,324	7,324
0.08	3,417	10,742
0.07	62,704	73,446
0.06	6,320	79,766
0.05	1,535	81,301
0.04	2,494	83,794
0.03	5,477	89,271
0.02	7,333	96,604
0.01	12,060	108,664

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	7,324	7,324
0.92	3,417	10,742
0.93	62,704	73,446
0.94	6,320	79,766
0.95	1,535	81,301
0.96	2,494	83,794
0.97	5,477	89,271
0.98	7,333	96,604
0.99	12,060	108,664

Spread0.02Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	2,400	2,400
0.88	10,100	12,500
0.87	17,414	29,915
0.86	22,127	52,042
0.85	3,070	55,112
0.84	700	55,812
0.83	847	56,658
0.82	700	57,358
0.81	1,400	58,758
0.80	20	58,778
0.79	505	59,283
0.78	1,189	60,472

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
LlamaLoco0000	Yes	117,944.66
novv25	Yes	72,639.67
5038813185	Yes	68,713.05
aenews2	Yes	30,088.71
0xF678D01Ce19Bd505351412504cFA66774d23A255-1775517236669	Yes	28,107.05
0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-1777220320442	Yes	22,005.01
PolyPlayerMADMAN	Yes	20,014.11
KM1	Yes	14,796
GayPride	Yes	12,499.99
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	10,341.06
mombil	Yes	9,371.83
jgdbvr	Yes	8,557.65
Tnothcote	Yes	7,651.86
52centis	Yes	7,086.18
0x9fE8575B05313c440340E3aE21Af1E0e300C2c91-1772046049700	Yes	6,499.96
pbshine	Yes	5,930.07
GammaSqueeze1234	Yes	4,999.98
Chore	Yes	4,000.45
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6d	Yes	4,000.4
slippy0	Yes	3,993.41

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:43:45	SELL	No	0.89	6	$5.71
08:43:18	BUY	No	0.9099999891	6	$5.84
08:42:56	SELL	No	0.89	2	$1.80
08:26:21	SELL	No	0.89	2	$1.80
08:23:53	SELL	No	0.89	2	$1.80
08:19:17	SELL	No	0.89	2	$1.80
08:18:45	SELL	No	0.89	6	$5.40
08:09:54	SELL	No	0.89	2	$1.80
07:29:12	SELL	No	0.89	3	$2.24
07:20:20	BUY	No	0.9	2,211	$1990.02
07:13:57	SELL	No	0.88	2	$1.78
07:11:03	SELL	Yes	0.1	9	$0.87
07:05:59	BUY	Yes	0.12	1,000	$120.00
06:57:15	SELL	No	0.88	3	$2.38
06:46:15	SELL	Yes	0.1	9	$0.87
06:38:59	SELL	No	0.88	2	$1.78
06:37:29	SELL	Yes	0.11	5	$0.55
06:31:29	SELL	No	0.88	1	$0.99
06:29:44	SELL	No	0.88	2	$1.78
06:10:47	SELL	No	0.88	2	$1.78
05:52:11	SELL	Yes	0.1	9	$0.87
05:47:14	SELL	No	0.88	2	$1.78
05:44:59	SELL	Yes	0.1	9	$0.87
05:40:59	SELL	No	0.88	2	$1.78
04:39:33	SELL	Yes	0.11	19	$2.06