everymarket
0xa1a013a29709ebe6c6f7e1e1dc8b530fc4e52746
- Realised P&L
- $-5.9k
- Volume
- $262.7k
- Markets traded
- 881
- Open portfolio
- $311.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded881
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.579Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.0kat 0.318Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$640.27at 0.372Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$598.20at 0.598Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$480.62at 0.368Will England win on 2026-07-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:13 | Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0489999951 | $9.10 |
| 08-03 03:13 | Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.0068720079 | $9.30 |
| 07-31 00:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7302440168 | $94.00 |
| 07-28 06:58 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.30 |
| 07-27 06:16 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.73 |
| 07-25 07:14 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0159609642 | $4.95 |
| 07-25 07:10 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.70 |
| 07-25 06:17 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.035 | $4.55 |
| 07-24 03:18 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0899999915 | $9.30 |
| 07-21 04:05 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.65 |
| 07-19 21:33 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.648999998 | $28.50 |
| 07-19 21:32 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.356999991 | $13.88 |
| 07-19 21:29 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3339999581 | $5.10 |
| 07-19 21:26 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2929999872 | $14.25 |
| 07-19 21:22 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999956 | $4.75 |