PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

everymarket

0xa1a013a29709ebe6c6f7e1e1dc8b530fc4e52746

Realised P&L
$-5.9k
Volume
$262.7k
Markets traded
881
Open portfolio
$311.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded881
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9100.935$95.55+$2.56
SBF released from custody in 2026? · No0.9490.955$93.54+$0.54
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · No0.5000.500$25.73+$0.00
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0720.055$14.21$4.39
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · No0.1190.105$13.14$1.81
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? · No0.9800.988$9.78+$0.08
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9420.951$9.38+$0.08
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.048$8.91$0.19
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.240$6.56$2.74
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0800.055$6.39$2.91
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 1 Morocco? · Yes0.1601.000$6.25+$5.25
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9400.946$5.15+$0.03
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0350.035$4.60+$0.05
SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.0490.045$4.32$0.33
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.9400.835$4.31$0.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:13Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0489999951$9.10
08-03 03:13Will Joshua Jefferson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.0068720079$9.30
07-31 00:41Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7302440168$94.00
07-28 06:58Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.06$9.30
07-27 06:16Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$25.73
07-25 07:14Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0159609642$4.95
07-25 07:10Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.001$4.70
07-25 06:17Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.035$4.55
07-24 03:18Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0899999915$9.30
07-21 04:05Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?BUY0.16$4.65
07-19 21:33Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.648999998$28.50
07-19 21:32Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.356999991$13.88
07-19 21:29Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3339999581$5.10
07-19 21:26Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2929999872$14.25
07-19 21:22Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999956$4.75