ICTRADING
0xa28cea90f23798fcfa4806d0c8927c95fdb3e10f
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $240.9k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026? · No | 0.948 | 0.995 | $1.2k | +$57.81 |
| Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.862 | 0.964 | $547.68 | +$57.89 |
| Will Grok 5 be released by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.916 | 0.992 | $437.72 | +$33.28 |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes | 0.685 | 0.550 | $331.13 | −$81.22 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.57 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jerome Powell by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.20 |
| Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$625.76at 0.917GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
- +$369.07at 0.963Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?
- +$232.02at 0.801Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$224.00at 0.710US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
- +$191.31at 0.931Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 13:31 | Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $38.80 |
| 07-27 08:53 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $235.45 |
| 07-24 09:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.758 | $758.00 |
| 07-24 06:23 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $22.29 |
| 07-23 09:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.76 | $1.5k |
| 07-22 02:28 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9498575 | $1.9k |
| 07-21 21:42 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $227.71 |
| 07-20 07:01 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? | SELL | 0.68 | $52.22 |
| 07-18 06:14 | Will Grok 5 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8562252288 | $412.62 |
| 07-16 20:49 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $141.00 |
| 07-16 08:24 | Will Grok 5 be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9182760775 | $367.54 |
| 07-16 08:19 | Will Grok 5 be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $18.00 |
| 07-14 20:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $17.21 |
| 07-12 03:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3821835897 | $226.33 |
| 07-12 03:19 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.799 | $799.00 |