PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pmcb

0xa56902ddb745968ad747f3a5a2a5f07ee68d96ec

Realised P&L
$32.2k
Volume
$1.35M
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$112.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9010.955$44.3k+$2.5k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8410.935$28.0k+$2.8k
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8700.961$20.2k+$1.9k
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7150.905$15.4k+$3.2k
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.6000.465$1.9k$540.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.4600.365$1.5k$379.99
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.7700.625$937.50$217.50
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1200.085$21.25$8.75
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? · No0.4730.000$0.00$2.8k
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? · No0.7450.000$0.00$1.4k
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No0.6500.000$0.00$649.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-17 15:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.78$390.00
06-17 15:26Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.995$2.6k
06-01 15:10Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by June 30?BUY0.9$2.3k
06-01 15:08Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.991$3.5k
06-01 15:08Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.991$439.33
06-01 15:08Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.991$496.25
06-01 15:08Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.991$487.26
05-26 15:22Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?BUY0.9700927644$522.88
05-26 15:20Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.77$15.40
05-26 15:17Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.6$433.87
05-26 15:14Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.985$535.71
05-26 15:14Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.985$1.2k
05-26 15:14Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.985$4.2k
04-01 15:51US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?SELL0.64$42.09
03-22 07:41US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.65$792.92