AiBird
0xa58d4f278d7953cd38eeb929f7e242bfc7c0b9b8
- Realised P&L
- $139.4k
- Volume
- $257.76M
- Markets traded
- 9,691
- Open portfolio
- $19.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded9,691
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.2kat 0.023Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$23.5kat 0.055Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$21.9kat 0.001Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$14.0kat 0.003Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?
- +$11.6kat 0.061Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:21 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.19 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 03:20 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July? | BUY | 0.61 | $603.41 |
| 08-03 03:01 | Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $88.56 |
| 08-03 02:55 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-03 02:54 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July? | BUY | 0.1492311241 | $38.82 |
| 08-03 02:54 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July? | BUY | 0.82 | $323.90 |
| 08-03 02:51 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 50.0 and 50.9 in July? | BUY | 0.0294172317 | $2.82 |
| 08-03 02:47 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July? | BUY | 0.0698051948 | $10.75 |
| 08-03 02:44 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.16 |
| 08-03 02:44 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.31 | $56.87 |
| 08-03 02:43 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July? | BUY | 0.25 | $90.50 |
| 08-03 02:29 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.2947924088 | $184.54 |
| 08-03 02:09 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.41 | $222.88 |
| 08-03 01:15 | Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | BUY | 0.35 | $370.47 |
| 08-03 01:07 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |