PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AiBird

0xa58d4f278d7953cd38eeb929f7e242bfc7c0b9b8

Realised P&L
$139.4k
Volume
$257.76M
Markets traded
9,691
Open portfolio
$19.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded9,691
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1440.115$3.1k$776.12
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist in the US for 2026? · Yes0.0920.045$1.4k$1.4k
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? · Yes0.1740.145$1.2k$236.92
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? · No0.7210.685$860.24$45.25
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? · No0.3210.235$821.74$300.09
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? · No0.1610.145$816.63$88.67
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.075$750.01+$50.00
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · No0.5640.406$627.52$244.21
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · No0.1260.055$556.03$720.48
Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? · No0.6000.555$555.00$45.00
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July? · No0.6100.685$512.23+$56.08
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? · No0.7490.868$448.83+$61.67
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · Yes0.0660.028$423.66$587.27
Will Netflix win the most Emmys? · Yes0.2290.245$388.78+$26.13
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision? · No0.6870.845$359.13+$67.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:21Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in July?BUY0.19$2.09
08-03 03:20Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in July?BUY0.61$603.41
08-03 03:01Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?BUY0.08$88.56
08-03 02:55Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?BUY0.16$3.20
08-03 02:54Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 52.0 and 52.9 in July?BUY0.1492311241$38.82
08-03 02:54Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in July?BUY0.82$323.90
08-03 02:51Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 50.0 and 50.9 in July?BUY0.0294172317$2.82
08-03 02:47Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?BUY0.0698051948$10.75
08-03 02:44Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in July?BUY0.01$0.16
08-03 02:44Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.31$56.87
08-03 02:43Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.25$90.50
08-03 02:29Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.2947924088$184.54
08-03 02:09Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.41$222.88
08-03 01:15Will "Beef" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?BUY0.35$370.47
08-03 01:07Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?SELL0.56$11.20