blunderbot
0xa639cba9de2767193ac9652e56f79c6a9302a48f
- Realised P&L
- $-7.4k
- Volume
- $5.45M
- Markets traded
- 10,119
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,119
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.725 | $2.7k | +$685.19 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes | 0.357 | 0.645 | $1.7k | +$772.37 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes | 0.441 | 0.675 | $1.1k | +$389.42 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2? · No | 0.996 | 0.999 | $398.92 | +$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 2? · No | 0.995 | 0.998 | $199.50 | +$0.40 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? · No | 0.995 | 0.997 | $160.30 | +$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.628Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$1.0kat 0.410Chargers vs. Chiefs
- +$979.36at 0.632United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$976.05at 0.522Miami vs. Texas A&M
- +$897.00at 0.700US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $160.06 |
| 08-02 13:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.996 | $106.65 |
| 08-02 13:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.996 | $186.24 |
| 08-02 13:45 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.996 | $100.10 |
| 08-02 13:40 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.93 |
| 08-02 09:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.996 | $24.78 |
| 08-02 09:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.996 | $74.82 |
| 08-02 09:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 08-02 06:47 | Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 08-01 17:58 | Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $22.25 |
| 08-01 17:52 | Real Madrid vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $598.77 |
| 08-01 17:00 | Exact Score: IK Start 3 - 0 Viking FK? | SELL | 0.999 | $201.00 |
| 08-01 15:58 | Exact Score: IK Start 3 - 0 Viking FK? | BUY | 0.994 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 15:53 | Exact Score: IK Start 3 - 0 Viking FK? | BUY | 0.994 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 15:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $25.19 |