megadarkparticle
0xa67d4743aeb60ba703fcf2459dcf7495a319c6f9
- Realised P&L
- $-11.3k
- Volume
- $736.6k
- Markets traded
- 8,163
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,163
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.187Bitcoin Up or Down on January 24?
- +$1.2kat 0.149XRP Up or Down - January 22, 12PM ET
- +$691.06at 0.420Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
- +$470.72at 0.689Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
- +$454.66at 0.153Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on February 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 09:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 09:12 | Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 120k and 140k? | BUY | 0.3795529412 | $32.26 |
| 05-16 22:54 | Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.38 |
| 05-16 22:08 | Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 50 and 74 points? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.48 |
| 05-16 19:41 | Will the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be less than 25 points? | BUY | 0.33 | $28.05 |
| 05-16 15:24 | Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.81 |
| 05-14 05:32 | Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 14? | BUY | 0.336 | $28.56 |
| 05-12 14:34 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of May 11 – May 15? | BUY | 0.28 | $23.80 |
| 05-12 12:30 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.85 |
| 05-12 12:30 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.85 |
| 05-09 04:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 10? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 05-09 02:38 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 10? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 05-09 02:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 10? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 05-08 19:55 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 05-08 16:41 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $420-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of May 4 – May 8? | BUY | 0.13 | $11.05 |