PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TheEvilMoneyDestroyer

0xa7034f35042c92e8878f26c98953b3627ced6a73

Realised P&L
$6.3k
Volume
$419.9k
Markets traded
227
Open portfolio
$15.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded227
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? · No0.7430.925$6.8k+$1.3k
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · No0.7500.905$3.6k+$617.25
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · No0.9610.940$1.5k$32.98
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9110.951$1.0k+$43.14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.9100.395$607.69$792.31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.9651.000$559.17+$19.17
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5590.635$340.45+$40.45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9140.965$295.47+$15.47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6700.775$115.67+$15.67
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9570.974$101.72+$1.72
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.935$100.54+$0.54
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · No0.8960.840$93.71$6.29
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9660.964$74.81$0.19
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.6700.890$59.78+$14.78
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? · No0.9630.963$39.98$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:16Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?BUY0.9203384123$2.1k
07-31 23:16Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?BUY0.9629999974$40.00
07-31 23:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.9099999999$900.00
07-31 23:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.2699999963$50.00
07-31 23:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.2$50.00
07-31 23:08Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.9677638847$500.00
07-31 23:08Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0194027673$25.00
07-31 23:06US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.9099999988$500.00
07-31 09:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.9889999999$100.00
07-30 14:56Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.9659999936$75.00
07-30 14:03Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.4599284928$100.00
07-30 14:03Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?SELL0.877672$175.53
07-28 10:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.96$440.00
07-27 16:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?BUY0.94$1000.00
07-27 16:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 29?BUY0.9692306619$2.0k