Faston
0xa7fea388f955a9517067111030eb771c6d911f3e
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $711.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,774
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,774
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$551.32at 0.116Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
- +$488.31at 0.409Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$481.62at 0.761Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?
- +$379.00at 0.620Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
- +$329.64at 0.900Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:21 | Will Spotify say "Customer" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.92 |
| 08-03 03:08 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.652368 | $32.62 |
| 08-03 02:48 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 08-03 02:02 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.9593332222 | $57.55 |
| 08-03 01:15 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.959 | $38.36 |
| 08-02 09:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 08-02 02:23 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9429241954 | $88.19 |
| 08-01 14:43 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 08-01 11:17 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 08-01 03:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $19.86 |
| 08-01 02:53 | Will Trump say "First Lady" this week? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 08-01 01:32 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $49.40 |
| 08-01 01:03 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $54.00 |
| 08-01 00:00 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 07-31 17:28 | Will SpaceX say "Tesla" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.52 | $36.40 |